Friday, August 29, 2014

Skyfallen and homesick

Last night, I had another disastrous $120,000 skyfall. At my current rate, it will take me nearly two and a half years to win a million play dollars playing 7 card stud. I just don't have the stomach for that. I'm homesick for hold'em, and will return to it tonight. It's my bread and butter, and I can never leave it for long, even when I intend to. 7 card stud, though a skill game, just isn't much fun to play. Hold'em is also a skill game, and is super fun to play. What more could you ask for?

During current Stud session you were dealt 103 hands and:
- saw fourth street 74 times (71%)
- saw fifth street 59 times (57%)
- saw sixth street 48 times (46%)
- reached showdown 27 times (26%)
 Pots won at showdown - 8 of 27 (29%)
 Pots won without showdown - 2

delta: $-120,000
cash game 7 card stud balance: $59,092
balance: $10,144,826

Thursday, August 28, 2014

Skyfall

I've never seen the Bond movie "Skyfall", but that doesn't mean I don't recognize the power of its title. In a poker context, skyfall is the distance your stack falls from being in the blue on the first occasion when it does so. In other words, if you lose multiple sessions in a row after getting into the blue, your skyfall is just the amount your stack fell in the first of those losing sessions. On August 19th, I had the third largest skyfall of my cash game career, a whopping $120,000. I'm happy to say I was able to return my stack to the blue in last night's session. What made it even more memorable was the fact that it was the first stud session ever where I was above water the whole night. Sweet!

During current Stud session you were dealt 61 hands and:
- saw fourth street 40 times (65%)
- saw fifth street 38 times (62%)
- saw sixth street 31 times (50%)
- reached showdown 11 times (18%)
 Pots won at showdown - 8 of 11 (72%)
 Pots won without showdown - 4

delta: $52,550
cash game 7 card stud balance: $179,092
balance: $10,264,826

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Running the table

Last night, the other players at the first table I joined eventually all quit. Unfortunately for me, this was after I'd hit the felt, reupped, and recouped almost a quarter of my losses. Actually, it was probably more fortunate for me than not that everybody quit. I went on a major tear at the second table I joined; I won 7 of 12 hands, and made a profit of $42,620. I knew I'd seen the best of my luck, and got out of Dodge.

During current Stud session you were dealt 81 hands and:
- saw fourth street 66 times (81%)
- saw fifth street 60 times (74%)
- saw sixth street 48 times (59%)
- reached showdown 23 times (28%)
 Pots won at showdown - 10 of 23 (43%)
 Pots won without showdown - 9

delta: $11,340
cash game 7 card stud balance: $126,542
balance: $10,212,276

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

The land of the sixes

Last night, I won 10 of 15 showdowns, for a winning rate of .666666..., aka the land of the sixes. The land of the sixes is a very good place to be, stud showdowns-wise. In fact, it's a very good place to be, showdowns-wise, regardless of poker flavor. My career hold'em showdown winning rate is a shade over 50%, which is respectable. My career stud showdown winning rate is only 45% at the moment. I know one sure way to raise it - not going to showdown as often as I do :-) That only works up to a point, however; avoid going to showdown too much, and you're bound to be leaving money on the table.

During current Stud session you were dealt 65 hands and:
- saw fourth street 56 times (86%)
- saw fifth street 48 times (73%)
- saw sixth street 35 times (53%)
- reached showdown 15 times (23%)
 Pots won at showdown - 10 of 15 (66%)
 Pots won without showdown - 4

delta: $6,780
cash game 7 card stud balance: $115,202
balance: $10,200,936

Monday, August 25, 2014

Ending with a bang

On Friday night, I ended my session with a bang. On the final hand, I had a hand delta of $15,400, good enough for the second largest of the night. That inspired me to come up with a new poker stat. Here's the definition: if your final positive hand delta is a high chaparral delta, you've officially ended the session with a bang. I thought that would be a fairly rare occurrence, but it's actually a common one. Of the 39 stud sessions for which I have the hand histories, fully 27 of them have ended with a bang.

During current Stud session you were dealt 133 hands and:
- saw fourth street 109 times (81%)
- saw fifth street 98 times (73%)
- saw sixth street 81 times (60%)
- reached showdown 38 times (28%)
 Pots won at showdown - 16 of 38 (42%)
 Pots won without showdown - 11

delta: $8,170
cash game 7 card stud balance: $108,422
balance: $10,194,156

Friday, August 22, 2014

The land of the thirty-twos

Last night, I won 32 hands out of 99 for a winning rate of .323232..., aka the land of the thirty-twos. I was only underwater for one of them. One of the most important lessons I'm learning in stud is that you really don't want to bet or raise very much; checking and calling are much smarter options in general. Where you make money in stud is by not losing more money in spots where other players might. It's a minimalistic philosophy, but I like it.

During current Stud session you were dealt 99 hands and:
- saw fourth street 73 times (73%)
- saw fifth street 63 times (63%)
- saw sixth street 52 times (52%)
- reached showdown 27 times (27%)
 Pots won at showdown - 13 of 27 (48%)
 Pots won without showdown - 19

delta: $50,520
cash game 7 card stud balance: $100,252
balance: $10,185,986

Thursday, August 21, 2014

The walrus by a whisker

Last night, the walrus got me by a whisker again. That is to say, I would have had a profitable session except for a bad beat. On hand 37, I hit a flush on sixth street, but got beaten by a full house which an opponent hit on seventh street. I'd been a 92.63% favorite after sixth street, but it wasn't meant to be. Had I won that hand, I would have made a profit of $24,850 on the night. I'm not discouraged, though; I played much better last night than the night before. Looking at the statistics of the two sessions, I realize I was wrong about what I'd been doing wrong on Tuesday night. It wasn't that I was going to showdown too often; it was that I was going to showdown too often without premium hands.

During current Stud session you were dealt 128 hands and:
- saw fourth street 95 times (74%)
- saw fifth street 82 times (64%)
- saw sixth street 65 times (50%)
- reached showdown 38 times (29%)
 Pots won at showdown - 20 of 38 (52%)
 Pots won without showdown - 8

delta: $-3,350
cash game 7 card stud balance: $49,732
balance: $10,135,466