Wednesday, October 29, 2014

A counterfeit house

Last night, on the final hand of the session, I lost the most money I've ever lost with a full house - $52,697. My problem was that I got there on the turn, and was so convinced I had a lock on the hand that I didn't pay attention to the river card. It paired the board, counterfeiting my full house, but I didn't notice. The board was showing two pairs, a very dangerous situation which I completely missed. I went all in, got snap called, and that was all she wrote. It's a cardinal sin to make a raise of any kind when your hand has been counterfeited. One thing I realized about my thought process afterwards is that somehow I inverted the places of the three of the kind and the pair; I'd made a full house of deuces full of queens, but somehow thought I'd made queens full of deuces. Inexcusable, but there you have it. The slump continues. At least I only lost one buy in last night instead of two :-)

During current Hold'em session you were dealt 53 hands and saw flop:
 - 7 out of 9 times while in big blind (77%)
 - 6 out of 8 times while in small blind (75%)
 - 22 out of 36 times in other positions (61%)
 - a total of 35 out of 53 (66%)
 Pots won at showdown - 4 of 11 (36%)
 Pots won without showdown - 7

delta: $-50,000
cash game no limit hold'em balance: $6,582,644
balance: $9,487,743

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Bottom two

As you may know, I've had a career-long love/hate relationship with the hand which I call the stealth two pair. A stealth two is when you don't have a pocket pair, the flop has no pairs, and both your hole cards match one of the cards in the flop. You can make a lot of money with stealth twos, and you can also lose a lot with them. Last night, my final hand of the session was a stealth two, and I lost a lot with them - $38,016 to be precise. In this case, it was a bottom two stealth two. I was up against an opponent who'd flopped a top and bottom stealth two. I made a full house on the river, and my opponent made a better full house. I went all in, and hit the felt.

I was curious to see how I've fared with bottom two in my career, so I wrote a utility to find out. I turns out that I've flopped bottom two 163 times in 52,462 hands, and have a slight profit, $316,193, for my trouble.

During current Hold'em session you were dealt 142 hands and saw flop:
 - 16 out of 20 times while in big blind (80%)
 - 12 out of 21 times while in small blind (57%)
 - 56 out of 101 times in other positions (55%)
 - a total of 84 out of 142 (59%)
 Pots won at showdown - 7 of 27 (25%)
 Pots won without showdown - 9

delta: $-100,000
cash game no limit hold'em balance: $6,632,644
balance: $9,537,743

Monday, October 27, 2014

A perfect three and out

In football, a three and out is a bad thing. In poker, it can be either good or bad. Last night, I had a perfect three and out of the good variety. It occurred at the second table I joined; I had to join a second because my first quit on me. Here's what went down:

- on the first hand at the new table, I was dealt a big slick; I ended up winning a pot worth $114,016 with a pair of aces
- on the second hand, I was dealt a pair of tens; I ended up winning a pot worth $40,270 with them
- on the third hand, I was dealt a ten jack offsuit; I ended up winning a pot worth $28,650 with a jack high straight
- on the fourth hand, I was dealt a deuce queen offsuit, folded before the flop, and called it a night; when possible, I like to end a session when dealt a hand containing a deuce or a trey, and the poker gods obliged me :-)

During current Hold'em session you were dealt 66 hands and saw flop:
 - 9 out of 11 times while in big blind (81%)
 - 7 out of 11 times while in small blind (63%)
 - 22 out of 44 times in other positions (50%)
 - a total of 38 out of 66 (57%)
 Pots won at showdown - 6 of 13 (46%)
 Pots won without showdown - 7

delta: $75,688
cash game no limit hold'em balance: $6,732,644
balance: $9,637,743

Saturday, October 25, 2014

A Widow for One Year

Though I'm a big fan of John Irving, somehow I've never gotten around to reading his 1998 novel "A Widow for One Year". That won't stop me from appropriating its title for the title of this post, however. You don't have to read a book in order to recognize the power of its title. The power of this one is industrial strength.

What do I mean by a widow for one year? Simply stated, the feeling of being out of the blue for an extended period of time. The longest continuous stretch my cash game no limit hold'em balance has ever been out of the blue is 133 sessions, from May 19th, 2013 through October 10th, 2013. My current stretch, which started on August 29th, just hit 31 sessions.

During current Hold'em session you were dealt 55 hands and saw flop:
 - 3 out of 7 times while in big blind (42%)
 - 7 out of 8 times while in small blind (87%)
 - 22 out of 40 times in other positions (55%)
 - a total of 32 out of 55 (58%)
 Pots won at showdown - 5 of 9 (55%)
 Pots won without showdown - 3

delta: $8,636
cash game no limit hold'em balance: $6,656,956
balance: $9,562,055

Friday, October 24, 2014

House money

I've always said that my favorite type of hand is a flush. Esthetically, that's still true. However, in examining my voluminous poker data, a different type of hand emerges head and shoulders above the rest. Not to keep you in suspense, it's a full house. Check out these career numbers:

  $-7,694,163   high card
  $-7,114,726   one pair
   $2,712,047   two pair
   $4,774,047   three of a kind
   $4,754,725   straight
   $4,593,552   flush
   $5,374,438   full house
     $510,979   four of a kind
      $82,700   straight flush
      $55,688   royal flush


Last night, I had two full houses; here are the numbers by hand type for the session:

     $-14,932   high card
     $-14,120   one pair
     $-26,912   two pair
      $26,876   three of a kind
      $18,907   straight
      $57,568   full house


Given this evidence, I have to say that my practical favorite hand is a full house.

During current Hold'em session you were dealt 80 hands and saw flop:
 - 9 out of 11 times while in big blind (81%)
 - 4 out of 11 times while in small blind (36%)
 - 39 out of 58 times in other positions (67%)
 - a total of 52 out of 80 (65%)
 Pots won at showdown - 10 of 24 (41%)
 Pots won without showdown - 6

delta: $43,637
cash game no limit hold'em balance: $6,648,320
balance: $9,553,419

Thursday, October 23, 2014

An eight which will live in infamy

Last night, I set a new personal worst. In my last eight sessions, I've lost more money than in any other 8 session stretch of my cash game no limit hold'em career. Call it an eight which will live in infamy :-) Here are my top 10 worst 8 session stretches:

$-352,431 2014-10-10 2014-10-22 (3)
$-340,282 2013-06-11 2013-06-18 (3)
$-330,862 2011-06-16 2011-06-28 (2)
$-319,600 2011-06-11 2011-06-23 (3)
$-295,039 2013-05-22 2013-05-29 (2)
$-290,862 2011-06-20 2011-08-13 (2)
$-281,799 2013-06-12 2013-06-19 (3)
$-278,562 2011-06-13 2011-06-24 (3)
$-273,540 2014-08-29 2014-09-08 (2)
$-268,409 2013-05-19 2013-05-26 (2)


To compound my misery, I ended the night with my 8th costliest hand, and costliest cowboys. Here are my top ten costliest hands:

$-102,200 Ah Jd 2012-06-02 hand 121
 $-97,932 Qd Ad 2013-06-13 hand  53
 $-83,453 Ac Qd 2014-04-12 hand  59
 $-76,121 9c Td 2014-05-05 hand  34
 $-75,617 2c 2h 2014-10-07 hand 114
 $-74,096 Kc 9c 2014-01-23 hand  58
 $-71,323 Kc Td 2013-12-23 hand 136
 $-67,422 Kh Kc 2014-10-22 hand  60
 $-65,982 Ac Ks 2013-11-26 hand   8
 $-65,789 Kh Qh 2012-04-17 hand  21


It's pretty clear I need to retool my game.

During current Hold'em session you were dealt 60 hands and saw flop:
 - 6 out of 7 times while in big blind (85%)
 - 4 out of 7 times while in small blind (57%)
 - 26 out of 46 times in other positions (56%)
 - a total of 36 out of 60 (60%)
 Pots won at showdown - 3 of 8 (37%)
 Pots won without showdown - 4

delta: $-100,000
cash game no limit hold'em balance: $6,604,683
balance: $9,509,782

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Top 10 felt distance

Last night, I hit the felt twice, losing $100,000. Funnily enough, it didn't take too long for me to come up with a positive takeaway from the session. After reupping, I made my second stack last a full 153 hands. Defining felt distance as the number of hands played with a single buy in before hitting the felt, last night's second felt distance made my top 10 all time list, clocking in at number 8:

    211 2013-06-12
    192 2011-12-21
    175 2012-08-02
    174 2013-05-22
    165 2012-11-18
    159 2013-12-06
    158 2011-12-30
    153 2014-10-21
    140 2012-01-24
    139 2014-06-09


Coincidentally, I hit the felt for the second time on a hand number which divided the sum of the buy ins evenly; as a result, I lost an average of exactly one big blind per hand.

During current Hold'em session you were dealt 200 hands and saw flop:
 - 43 out of 50 times while in big blind (86%)
 - 38 out of 50 times while in small blind (76%)
 - 52 out of 100 times in other positions (52%)
 - a total of 133 out of 200 (66%)
 Pots won at showdown - 19 of 33 (57%)
 Pots won without showdown - 35

delta: $-100,000
cash game no limit hold'em balance: $6,704,683
balance: $9,609,782