A better predictor of MTT success

In last night's post, what I really meant by recipe for success was predictor of success. Such a predictor should fulfill two requirements:

1. it should maximize correct predictions
2. it should minimize incorrect predictions

The recipe I gave last night did very well on the second requirement, but very poorly on the first. Here are the numbers:

maximum possible correct predictions: 445
actual correct predictions: 8
maximum_possible incorrect predictions: 445
actual incorrect predictions: 0

I've come up with a better predictor: if you play at least 100 hands (a century) of MTT NLHE, you'll make the money. Here are the numbers for this predictor:

maximum possible correct predictions: 445
actual correct predictions: 38
maximum_possible incorrect predictions: 445
actual incorrect predictions: 0

Clearly, there's a lot of room for a better predictor to come along.

style flavor buy_in entry players hands place winnings

MTT   NLHE    17500  2500       6   118    16    87700

delta: $67,700
MTT NLHE balance: $2,435,248
2017 balance: $468,100
balance: $11,885,930